Retention
Why customers leave
Customers are leaving and the reasons given do not add up.
Signals to look for
- churn
- cancel
- leaving
- retention
- not renewing
- lost customer
Questions to answer
- Did they ever reach first value?
- When did usage or contact actually stop, relative to when they cancelled?
- Which segment and which channel did they come from?
- Was the reason given the reason, or the polite version?
Evidence required before committing
- cancellations by segment and channel
- activity before cancellation
- time from purchase to cancellation
- stated reasons
Likely constraint
- Wrong customers acquired
- Value never reached
- A product gap concentrated in one segment
How the decision branches
- IfMost leavers never reached first valueThenThis is an onboarding problem, not a product one.
- IfLeavers cluster in one channel or segmentThenIt is an acquisition-quality problem; fix qualification.
- IfLong-tenured customers leaveThenValue decays over time — look at expansion and outcomes, not setup.
What to test
Classify the last ten departures into never-activated, wrong-fit, or value-decayed, using records rather than recollection.
Read after 21 days.
What success looks like
- At least seven of ten classify cleanly into one bucket
- One dominant cause is identifiable
What means stop
- Departures spread evenly across all three — there is no single cause and no single fix
Typical next move
- Never-activated dominates → Run onboarding design.
- Wrong-fit dominates → Run customer profile discovery.
- Value-decay dominates → Run expansion logic and behaviour-led roadmap.
Who does the work
Aury can carry out: read company, prepare document, file memory, flag risk. Specialists involved: operations, product, research.
Your approval: Contacting departed customers is founder-approved.
Where this stops being true
Requires at least ten departures to classify. Below that, treat each as an anecdote.
Stated reasons are unreliable. Behaviour before cancellation is the stronger evidence.
Provenance
- Sourced operator experience: Churn-classification practice in recurring-revenue businesses
- Aurygine synthesis: Aurygine synthesis across founder journeys
Confidence: high. Last reviewed 2026-08-25. Your company's own recorded results override this playbook whenever the two disagree.