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Operating knowledge

Market selection

Should we pivot?

Growth has stalled and the founders disagree about what to do about it.

Signals to look for

  • pivot
  • stalled
  • plateau
  • change direction
  • disagree
  • not working

Questions to answer

  • What exactly is not working — demand, conversion, retention or economics?
  • What would have to be true for the current direction to work?
  • Which of the founders' positions is testable this month?
  • What has already been tried, and what did it actually show?

Evidence required before committing

  • trend in {revenue} over the last six months
  • conversion at each stage of the funnel
  • retention or repeat rate
  • what changed in the periods where the numbers moved

Likely constraint

  • A disagreement that costs more in delay than either option costs in money
  • No shared definition of what failure would look like

How the decision branches

  • If
    The founders disagree and both positions are cheap to test
    Then
    Do not resolve it by argument. Run a small external preference test and let real buyers decide.
  • If
    Retention is strong and acquisition is weak
    Then
    This is not a pivot. It is a distribution problem.
  • If
    Acquisition is fine and customers leave or never expand
    Then
    The offer or the segment is wrong — a partial pivot, not a restart.

What to test

Put both directions in front of twenty real buyers in the same week, priced, and count which one produces more commitment.

Read after 14 days.

What success looks like

  • One direction produces at least twice the commitment of the other
  • The result is consistent across two different acquisition sources

What means stop

  • Both directions produce almost nothing — the problem is upstream of the choice
  • The test cannot be run without building something first; reduce it further

Typical next move

  • One direction clearly winsCommit for a fixed period with a review date, and stop re-litigating.
  • The result is closeKeep the current direction — a tie is not a reason to pay switching costs.

Who does the work

Aury can carry out: read company, prepare document, prepare outreach, file memory. Specialists involved: strategy, research, sales.

Your approval: The founder approves the two offers before either is shown to anyone.

Where this stops being true

Holds when both directions can be represented honestly to a buyer without building them first.

Preference tests measure stated intent unless money changes hands. Where possible, take a deposit or a signature, not a nod.

Founder disagreement is often cheaper to resolve with a small external evidence test than with another month of internal debate.

Provenance

  • Sourced operator experience: Founder/operator case study analysed inside Aurygine — bootstrapped B2B software company, 2026
  • Aurygine synthesis: Aurygine synthesis across founder journeys

Confidence: medium. Last reviewed 2026-08-25. Your company's own recorded results override this playbook whenever the two disagree.